Facts Over Fear: What the headlines don’t tell you about home prices

When panic’s louder than perspective

Last week, I had a buddy tell me he was gonna hold off on buying a house. He said, “With a recession coming, I just feel like prices are gonna tank.”

I get it. The fear is real. The headlines are louder than ever. Rates, inflation, elections, layoffs. It’s a lot.

But here’s the thing. Fear’s easy to find. Facts take a little digging.

And I’ve been doing this long enough to know that the scariest times are often when the smartest moves are made — not because you bet against the market, but because you looked past the noise.


Seven recessions, one drop

Let’s look at what’s actually happened.

In the last 50 years, the U.S. has gone through seven recessions. You’d think home prices dropped every time, right?

They didn’t.

Only once — during the 2008 crash — did we see values take a dive. The other six times? Prices held or went up.

Now 2008 was different. That recession was caused by housing. That’s not what we’re dealing with now.

When recessions hit, yes, some folks lose jobs. Demand softens. But here’s what people forget: mortgage rates usually drop, too. And when that happens, homes become more affordable for those still in the game.

That shift creates balance. Not collapse.


A house is not a stock

I’ve always said, buying a house is not like day trading. It’s not a gamble you flip in a week. It’s shelter. It’s stability. It’s something you live in, raise your family in, build wealth in — slowly.

I know it’s tempting to wait for the “perfect” time. But most people don’t recognize the bottom until it’s already passed them by.

So if you’re holding off just because the news feels heavy, take a breath. Ask yourself: what’s true for your life right now?

Do you need a better space? A more stable payment? Room to grow? Let’s start there.

Because the market will always move. What matters is what you need to do.


📞 Got questions? I’d be honored to help you sort them out.

Let’s turn your mortgage into a work of Art.


Contact me here
404-909-3567

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